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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Latest posts

Last updated about 14 hours ago

How far can exchangeability get us toward agreeing on individual probability?

about 14 hours ago

This is Jessica. What’s the common assumption behind the following?  Partial pooling...

7 steps to junk science that achieves worldly success

about 18 hours ago

More than a decade after the earthquake that was the replication crisis...

“The terror among academics on the covid origins issue is like nothing we’ve ever seen before”

3 days ago

Michael Weissman sends along this article he wrote with a Bayesian evaluation...

Genre fiction: Some genres are cumulative and some are not.

4 days ago

I’ve been reading some books about the history of twentieth-century mystery novels...

The theory crisis in physics compared to the replication crisis in social science: Two different opinion-field inversions that differ in some important ways

5 days ago

Yesterday we discussed an “opinion-field inversion” in theoretical physics: in the prestige...

String theory wars: An opinion-field inversion.

6 days ago

From my Columbia math department colleague Peter Woit Brian Greene’s The Elegant...

Muckraking at the University of Oregon

7 days ago

Check it out. I was amused by these posts From 2014: Crap-free...

“The king, sir, is much better!”

8 days ago

Algis Budrys wrote this in 1983 Budrys brings this up in the...

Postdoc, doctoral student, and summer intern positions, Bayesian methods, Aalto

8 days ago

Postdoc and doctoral student positions in developing Bayesian methods at Aalto University...

I would add three words to this statement by Uri Simonsohn on preregistration

9 days ago

Uri writes Pre-registrations should only contain information that helps demarcate confirmatory vs...